Tuesday, 7 August 2012

Football Forecasts award photo

From http://bvetsfootballgroup.blogspot.com/

A little belatedly - and with thanks to Mr. Sharp - here's the published photo from last week's Deeside Piper:


Time flies and a new season is just about upon us once more, so it'll soon be time to make your forecasts for the 2012-13 season. There are no Euro or World Cup Finals next summer, so it's back to the usual format again. Traditionally, there have been 20 results to forecast each year and I think that's a good number and would propose we keep the same total again next season.

This would probably mean the 20 forecasts would comprise:

  1. Scotland (7) - SPL winners & relegated, plus Divs 1, 2 & 3 winners and the 2 major Cups.
  2. England (9) - winners of each of the 4 main leagues, plus the 3 relegated teams from the Premiership and the 2 main Cup winners.
  3. Europe (4) - Champions & Europa League winners and runners-up.
That's the way it's usually been, but, if anyone has any suggestions for tweaking this a bit (whilst still keeping the total at 20), then please let me know as soon as possible.

We've been running the Football Forecasts competition for 4 years, so I decided to do a bit of summarising to see who the best forecasters were. The first year we did it, we only had a maximum of 8 results to predict, but since then it's been 20 each year, so the total for 4 years is 68.

Leading the pack is Andy Marshall with a total of 28 correct - a success rate of 41.2%. Close behind is Geordie Ziegler (despite a disastrous first year) and Dave Williamson with 26 each.

Of course, not everyone has taken part every year - for instance, Ewen Hay has only participated the last 2 years, but already has 16 correct - a success rate of 40%.

Here's the full list:

  No. of Forecasts 68 20 20 20 8    
Order   4 year totals 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 2008-9 Years entered % success
1 Marshall, Andy 28 7 10 8 3 4 41.2%
2= Williamson, Dave 26 8 10 6 2 4 38.2%
2= Ziegler, Geordie 26 5 11 10   4 38.2%
4= McRae, Ian 25 6 8 9 2 4 36.8%
4= Paterson, Steve 25 6 9 9 1 4 36.8%
6= Trimble, Tim 24 8 7 6 3 4 35.3%
6= Black, Ken 24 7 8 7 2 4 35.3%
6= Stewart, Ian 24 7 7 8 2 4 35.3%
6= Kilgour, Colin 24 5 10 7 2 4 35.3%
10 Dunnachie, Rob 23 8 6 5 4 4 33.8%
11 Robertson, Andy 22 5 7 6 4 4 32.4%
12 Grant, Gary 21 5 8 6 2 4 30.9%
13= Dickinson, Chris 20 5 7 8   3 33.3%
13= Meany, Nigel 20 6 6 6 2 4 29.4%
15 Lodge, Malcolm 18   8 8 2 3 37.5%
16 McWhinnie, John 17 2 6 8 1 4 25.0%
17 Hay, Ewen 16 9 7     2 40.0%
18= Sharp, Ian 15 7 3 4 1 4 22.1%
18= Tyrie, Jeb 15   7 8   4 22.1%
20 Hay, Ryan 9 4   5   2 22.5%
21 Macindoe, Stewart 8     5 3 2 28.6%
22 Elgie, Colin 2 2       1 10.0%
23 Fitzpatrick, Brian 1       1 1 12.5%
    433 112 145 139 37 78 636.8%
  No. 23 20 19 20 19 23 33.8%
  Average 18.8 5.6 7.6 7.0 1.9 3.4 27.7%


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